Can You Have It All?

Politicians who like popularity
May advocate "growth with austerity",
An odd formulation
Of vague calculation,
But perfect political clarity.

European growth vs. fiscal austerity? "We need both," says ECB Executive Board member Jörg Asmussen. Mr. Asmussen, who recently joined the European Central Bank from the German finance ministry, maintained in a speech in Berlin that "the fiscal compact can be complemented by growth-enhancing measures." However, it is clear that, as a good German, he advocates fealty to fiscal discipline first and foremost; growth measures "make sense as a supplement, but the fiscal compact cannot be renegotiated or softened." Most likely Mr. Asmussen is just doing his bit to calm the political waters that have recently swept away such austerity advocates as Nicholas Sarkozy, as well as his own Christian Democrats in a recent regional election. After all, even an elite central banker would have trouble explaining how a government could simultaneously grow the economy while shrinking itself.

Overheard at the G-20 in Cannes

"Monsieur Président," said Premier Hu,
"If the Greeks carry on as they do,
We would scarcely esteem
Your stability scheme,
Or the chance of financing it, too."

When President Nicolas Sarkozy, host of this week's G-20 summit in Cannes, met Premier Hu Jintao for dinner, he would have hoped to wine and dine the Chinese leader into backing the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) with some of his country's $3 trillion in foreign reserves. Instead, the entire project has been thrown into doubt by Prime Minister George Papandreou's call for a Greek referendum on his country's bailout. Alarmed that the referendum is likely to fail, European leaders have responded with an ultimatum, in the words of Chancellor Angela Merkel: "Does Greece want to remain part of the euro zone or not?"

European Financial Stability Negotiations

Said Merkel, "On this I agree
With Monsieur Président Sarkozy:
There's a pretty good chance
Of a downgrade for France
And political fallout for me."

Against the backdrop of the failure of the French-Belgian bank Dexia, French President Nicholas Sarkozy met with German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Sunday to resolve their differences over the path to European financial stability. The two announced to the press that a deal would be struck by the end of the month, meaning that agreement is still a long way off. France would like its banks to have access to the European Financial Stability Facility for capital support, but Germany - the biggest contributor to the EFSF - would face domestic political unrest. The Germans, for their part, would like troubled banks to draw on private or national capital sources, but France might face a downgrade if it tried to shore up its banks on its own. A Franco-German agreement is key to resolving the Greco-Italo-Hispano debt crisis that grips Europe.

Urgent EU Consultation

Said van Rompuy to Merkel: "I task you
With assuring Athenians' rescue."
"It doesn't look rosy," 
Said she to Sarkozy,
"But are bailouts the answer? I ask you!"