Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Iowa Caucus

Said an analyst, voicing complaint:
"Though this Iowa caucus is quaint,
The candidate crowned
May be treated as bound
For the White House, but probably ain't."

Going into the first round of the 2012 Republican presidential nomination season, speculation swirled feverishly over which of Ron Paul or Rick Santorum would "surge" past the well-funded but unloved Mitt Romney to win the Iowa caucus. More than one political analyst, however, has cautioned against ascribing much meaning to this contest. The New York Times "Five Thirty Eight" blog, while valuing the caucus for early evidence of how "flesh and blood voters behave after exposure to the campaigns," allows that "it is true that no delegates will be chosen on Tuesday night, and it is true that the Iowa caucuses have far from a perfect predictive track record, especially on the Republican side."

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